It would be Erdogan’s first time giving an American audience his view of the coup. It seemed a prime opportunity for him to win sympathy and provide evidence for the demand that the Obama administration immediately repatriate Fethullah Gulen, the U.S.-based cleric the Turkish government blames for the coup ― something the United States says it is not yet prepared to do. And unlike his speech earlier in the week at the United Nations General Assembly, it could be focused entirely on Turkey’s complicated internal politics.
So reporters, academics and observers of the U.S.-Turkey relationship gathered at the ritzy Harvard Club early Friday, to have enough time to navigate Erdogan’s notorious security protocol. Then they learned that the president had already flown back to Turkey.
His substitute was Turkish foreign minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, a relatively minor figure whose last big moment in international news came when he misinterpreted a New York Times article following the failed coup.
The sudden change came as a surprise to many attendees. On its surface, it immediately reduced the importance of the entire event. But watching the Turkish government and its supporters indulge in this bait and switch actually gave Turkey-watchers an important message: here is the kind of approach that Erdogan will now follow in his relationships with the outside world.
Already wary of the international community, and the West in particular, the Turkish leader has now rallied so much local support that he is betting he has more leeway than ever to disregard global opinion.
Cavusoglu cheered this new reality, saying he saw an unprecedented level of unity in Turkey following the failed putsch. Attendees at the Friday gathering and at a Thursday event featuring the Turkish president’s wife, Emine Erdogan, told The Huffington Post they now see defending the president as continuous with defending their country, a frequent victim of coups, rather than with supporting his party, an Islamist movement that has never received 50 percent or more of the Turkish popular vote.
It’s striking that this is the government’s strategy at a time when it seems to be simultaneously trying to convince the world to help it target Gulen and his followers and ignore Erdogan’s growing domestic repression.
But it’s becoming increasingly clear that the carefully curated government materials about the dangers of Gulen are for Turkish people at home and abroad, rather than hard-to-convince foreigners. Many Turkish citizens feel that outsiders cannot and do not want to understand their political reality. They point to examples of Western media coverage that encouraged the coup because of the broad sense in the West that Erdogan has become an undesirable leader. This narrative ignores how the attempted overthrow of the elected government horrified millions of Turkish people, including government critics. This helps explain why Erdogan can today flippantly cancel a key U.S. event: it’s not the American media or commentariat that he wants to appeal to, it’s his and Turkey’s base.
Two sources with ties to the Turkish government indicated to HuffPost that they had been previously aware that Erdogan would ditch the expectant crowd and leave New York City Thursday night. Turkish diplomats informed one source of this two days earlier, they said.
(The Turkish Embassy in Washington did not respond to multiple requests for comment. Cemil Ozyurt, a Turkish journalist involved in organizing the event, said the president had changed his program Thursday night and informed the organizers Friday morning. Asked about embassy officials informing others about the change on Wednesday, Ozyurt responded: “If I had known that what would have been a reason not to tell you? I did not know that.”)
Turkey’s turn appears fine by the U.S., so long as Erdogan continues to cooperate on the Syrian civil war and the self-styled Islamic State. U.S. officials say they now treat the Turkish government with kid gloves, hoping not to spark a row and to enable President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry to achieve the resolutions they’re looking for on Syria. To respond to lingering anxieties in Turkey about alleged American support for the coup, the administration has even sent a team to Turkey to help analyze potential evidence of Gulen’s role.
And it was Erdogan’s comments on topics of U.S. interest like Syria ― particularly on his problems with the U.S.-aligned Syrian Kurds ― and Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump that got him the most press during his time in the U.S.
This “leave-well-enough-alone” attitude risks putting off conversations about tough issues that could decide Turkey’s future stability, such as how the state will function with thousands of officials purged and what authoritarian impulses Erdogan might follow next. Turkey has unleashed a fierce crackdown on the Kurdish community in recent months a bid to thwart a militant insurgency. Kurdish activists warn that the government brutality they have experienced may soon become commonplace around the country because of the environment of intense nationalism, suspicion and anger that Erdogan is helping foment.
Some outsiders still mention such issues. Linda Robertson, a Kent State University professor, asked the foreign minister about her friends in academia who had been fired during the Friday event.
But Erdogan’s government has already mapped out a narrative for how to respond to these concerns: the minister swiftly tied the question back to the popular Turkish idea that foreigners are not fully appreciating the trauma of the coup and may even have endorsed it. The country can’t afford another such crisis, Cavusoglu told Robertson, so anyone remotely suspicious must be removed from a position of power. Human rights advocates should simply have faith that the system will recognize who is a real threat and who isn’t.
It was an example of the cycle that Erdogan’s government is helping create, which seems set to justify all manner of government excess in the eyes of most of the Turkish public.
Meanwhile, abroad, the alarms continue to grow louder. Hours after the event concluded, with Erdogan safely back home, the credit ratings agency Moody’s took the unprecedented step of downgrading Turkey’s sovereign credit to the status of “junk.”
The president had already made his views clear. He told Bloomberg that he would see any such moves as a political action against his country. After Moody’s announced the news, his followers promptly joined the chorus.
Author: Akbar Shahid Ahmed